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US Private Sector Hiring Slows to 44,000 in July, Missing Forecasts

Private sector job growth cooled significantly in July as leisure and trade sectors shed positions.

U.S. private sector employment growth decelerated sharply in July as businesses added 44,000 jobs, falling short of Wall Street expectations and signaling a broader cooling in labor demand.

The gain was well below the 70,000 jobs projected by economists and marked a substantial step down from June’s revised total of 95,000 private payrolls, according to data released Wednesday by payroll processor ADP.

Pullbacks in cyclical and service-oriented sectors dragged on overall hiring. Leisure and hospitality lost 11,000 positions, trade, transportation, and utilities shed 8,000 jobs, and natural resources and mining declined by 6,000. Manufacturing added 2,000 jobs, while construction expanded by 1,000.

Hiring in healthcare and education cushioned the broader decline, with education and health services leading all sectors by adding 36,000 positions. Financial activities added 10,000 jobs, professional and business services gained 9,000, information added 5,000, and other services grew by 6,000.

“Job-changers are highly sensitive to real-time economic conditions, and their rapid pay growth implies supply constraints in parts of the labor market,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. “Typical hiring patterns, meanwhile, are changing as employers react to shifting macro-economic conditions.”

Small businesses with fewer than 50 employees accounted for the largest share of net hiring, adding 23,000 workers. Large enterprises employing 500 or more people added 13,000 jobs, while mid-sized firms with 50 to 499 employees added 8,000.

The monthly report, produced by ADP in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, serves as a key indicator of private sector hiring trends ahead of official government employment data from the U.S. Department of Labor.

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